3/13/2023 0 Comments Red sox score![]() Buying into the low ownership available with Bieber against a slumping offense that could offer a higher strikeout upside is a low-risk, high-reward play. Do we expect Bieber to get shelled two starts in a row? No, we do not. Bieber has improved giving up power this year as he has a top-15 ranking in allowed HR/9 among all qualified pitchers, considering he gave up three homers over six innings of work in his most recent start. His real and expected ERA and FIP numbers are still in a respectable place in the mid-3.00 range. The strikeout boost that we could see tonight with the Rays at the plate looks extremely needed for Shane Bieber, who has faced a steep strikeout decline this season compared to years past. They also have struck out at the sixth-worst clip in baseball during that stretch. The Rays have been an inconsistent offense throughout the year, so it is hard to predict when their next outburst will be, but over the past week, they have been in a downward trend from their scorching start to July as they have been in the bottom ten in ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ post the all-star break. Shane Bieber joins Cole near the top of the optimal board as he prepares to face the Tampa Bay Rays while finding himself in a slight leverage situation. ![]() ![]() So if you consider yourself a Cole backer, nothing here should scare you away from this play. Nothing sways us one way or another as he is being projected status quo against a mediocre offense. Cole will be the most expensive pitcher on the DraftKings board with the highest optimal probability of any arm, along with the expectation of him ending up as the highest owned by a decent margin. Still, in the meantime, the Royals have had a respectable July given their record as they are roughly league average in production given their wOBA and wRC+ even though they struggle to produce meaningful power. The loss of Andrew Benintendi will be felt offensively. He already faced Kansas City once this season, where he tossed six scoreless innings, and now their best hitter dons the Yankees pinstripes giving Cole one less matchup to be concerned about. Cole’s standing as one of baseball’s most dominant pitchers is not in question, as he has an 圎RA and xFIP around 3.00 with elite strikeout production. Gerrit Cole enters tonight’s slate as the top pitcher on our optimal board ahead of his matchup against the Kansas City Royals. Pitchers with the highest optimal probabilities: Gerrit Cole, Shane Bieber You can find it here, the link will be the same every day (for bookmarking purposes), and all the tables are pre-sorted for you. The AL Wild Card hopefuls seemingly forgot how to play baseball in the build up to All-Star break, losing consecutive games to the Yankees by the. The Red Sox beat the Rays in a marathon ALDS Game 3 at. It’s a tough time to be a Boston Red Sox fan. We have a new page to offer where the sims will be updated throughout the day. The Boston Red Sox are one win away from the ALCS and the 100-win Tampa Bay Rays are one loss away from heading home for the offseason. MLB DFS: Gerrit Cole, Shane Bieber Top Optimal Pitchers for Friday
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